This paper describes a randomization-based inference procedure for the distribution or quantiles of potential outcomes for a binary treatment and instrument. The method imposes no parametric model for the treatment effect, and remains valid for small n, a weak instrument, or inference on tail...

A hipótese de mercados eficientes é um assunto de grande relevância dentro da teoria de finanças. Assim, este trabalho tem por objetivo verificar a presença de eficiência no mercado à vista e futuro de boi gordo no Brasil, no período de março de 2001 a maio de 2010, totalizando 2.300...

This paper tests for robust multidimensional poverty comparisons across six countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). Two dimensions are considered, nutritional status and assets. The estimation of the asset index is based on two factorial analysis methods. The first...

In this paper, we propose a new method to assess the impact of sovereign ratings on sovereign bond yields. We estimate the impulse response of the interest rate, following a change in the rating. Since ratings are ordinal and moreover extremely persistent, it proves difficult to estimate those...

This paper considers the treatment of endogenous explanatory variables in the work of the Cowles Commission and in Carl Christ's classic 1966 textbook, and certain problems that arise when this approach is followed in areas such as the study of female labor supply where a prior knowledge is...

Partial derivatives have a special place in economics since the marginal revolution of the 1850s. We present results from multivariate partial derivative estimates using nonlinear non-parametric regressions in a finite difference method, accessible via the R-package NNS. Numerical partial...

In this note, we build upon the asymptotic theory for GARCH processes, considering the general class of augmented GARCH(p, q) processes. Our contribution is to complement the well-known univariate asymptotics by providing a bivariate functional central limit theorem between the sample quantile...

This paper develops a semi-parametric Bayesian regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data. Standard nonlinear regression models, which may work quite well for prediction, can yield badly biased estimates of treatment effects when fit to data with...

Despite a well-established correlation between alcohol intake and various risk-taking sexual behaviors, the causality remains unknown. The observed association can be easily attributed to the influence of unobserved individual characteristics rather than the influence of substance use. I model...