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Term structure modeling and forecasting of government bond yields : does a good in -sample fit imply reasonable out-of-sample forecasts?

Ullah, Wali; Matsuda, Yasumasa; Tsukuda, Yoshihiko - In: Economic papers : a journal of applied economics and policy 32 (2013) 4, pp. 535-560

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259467

Long-horizon yield curve projections : comparison of semi-parametric and parametric approaches

Nyholm, Ken; Rebonato, Riccardo - In: Applied financial economics 18 (2008) 18/21, pp. 1597-1611

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003800185

The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve

Lange, Ronald H. - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 39 (2017), pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878571

Liquidity and yield curve estimation

Tsai, Shih-chuan - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 48 (2012) 5, pp. 4-24

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761583

Fundamental disagreement about monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates

Cao, Shuo; Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, … - 2021 - Revised August 2021

Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767