The recent interest in portfolio credit risk modelling has concentrated attention on the correlation structure of credit risk. This paper calculates long-holding period correlations for emerging market sovereign spreads and compares these with the correlations of equity market indices for the...

The decomposition of bond yields into term premiums and average expected future short rates is impaired by the limited availability of information about the dynamics of the expectations component. Therefore, many studies require the model-implied average expected future short rates to be close...