; (iv) newer generation Phillips curve models with several timevarying features are a promising avenue for forecasting …

the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …

evidence that the Phillips curves' goodness of fit is rather high. However, forecasting power is comparatively low. -- Phillips … Curve ; Forecasting ; Europe ; RMSE …

depends strongly on the time period. Global factors provide only limited additional information for forecasting. In addition …

; (iv) newer generation Phillips curve models with several time-varying features are a promising avenue for forecasting …

This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …

agents form their expectations, we show that survey expectations contain relevant information about business cycle …

stabilize economic growth and in ation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey …-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and analyze the impact of the adoption of a negative interest rate … policy on expectations made by professionals based on a difference-in-differences approach. Our main findings are as follows …

indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if …