Showing 1 - 10 of 128
A market where short-lived customers interact with a long-lived expert is considered. An expert privately observes whether or not a particular treatment is necessary for his customers and has an incentive to recommend the treatment even if it is unnecessary. Customers imperfectly observe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003288
A careerist expert advises a sequence of principals on their actions to match a hidden, randomly evolving state. The expert privately knows her competence. The principals learn about the state and the expert’s competence from past advice and past action outcomes, both publicly observable. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234146
The purpose of this study is to test whether the size of the pre-sale price estimate range affects art auction prices and, if so, in what direction. We find that auction house art experts' relative estimate range positively affects realized prices. The effect is robust across the mid- low- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855908
A decision maker, named Alice, wants to know if an expert has significant information about payoff-relevant probabilities of future events. The expert, named Bob, either knows this probability almost perfectly or knows nothing about it. Hence, both Alice and the uninformed expert face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702645
In various situations decision makers face experts that may provide conflicting advice. This advice may be in the form of probabilistic forecasts over critical future events. We consider a setting where the two forecasters provide their advice repeatedly and ask whether the decision maker can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831890
The paper studies a dynamic communication game in the presence of adverse selection and career concerns. A forecaster of privately known competence, who cares about his reputation, chooses the timing of the forecast regarding the outcome of some future event. We find that in all equilibria in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859563
The paper studies a dynamic communication game in the presence of adverse selection and career concerns. A forecaster of privately known competence, who cares about his reputation, chooses the timing of the forecast regarding the outcome of some future event. We find that in all equilibria in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123351
We study information transmission between informed experts and an uninformed decision-maker who only takes binary decisions. In the single expert case, we show that information transmission can only be relatively poor. Hence, even sophiscated communication games do not yield equilibria which (ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166548
This paper studies optimal decision rules for a decision maker who can consult two experts in an environment without monetary payments. This extends the previous work by Holmström (1984) and Alonso and Matouschek (2008) who consider environments with one expert. In order to derive optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739211
This note reconsiders communication between an informed expert and an uninformed decision maker with a strategic mediator in a discrete Crawford and Sobel (1982) setting. We show that a strategic mediator may improve communication even when he is biased into the same direction as the expert. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183132