We evaluate whether survey-based indicators produce lower forecast errors for export growth than indicators obtained … from hard data such as price and cost competitiveness measures. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyzes and forecast encompassing …, large country differences in the forecast accuracy of survey-based indicators emerge. These differences are mainly explained …

the best-performing indicators beat a well-specified benchmark model in terms of forecast accuracy. It turns out that four …

In this study, we evaluate whether survey-based indicators produce lower forecast errors for export growth than … production expectations. However, large country differences in the forecast accuracy of survey-based indicators emerge. These … machinery goods. For hard indicators, we find only weak evidence for the export composition to explain differences in forecast …

the best-performing indicators beat a well-specified benchmark model in terms of forecast accuracy. It turns out that four …

second half of 2015, of the Chinese Yuan coupled with a sudden decline in China's import demand, we apply an Armington (1969 …

BRIC countries is currently very topical. The econometric forecasting model of Lithuania's Export and Import flows, created … external and internal factors changes. -- foreign trade in agricultural and food products ; econometric model ; forecast …

The purpose of this paper is to forecast Fiji's exports and imports for the period 2003-2020. Design …. To this end, the paper drew on the published export demand model and the import demand model of Narayan and Narayan for …