I study the predictability of the EC’s merger decision procedure before and after the 2004 merger policy reform based on a dataset covering all affected markets of mergers with an official decision documented by DG Comp between 1990 and 2014. Using the highly flexible, non-parametric random...

Combination of forecasts from survey data is complicated by the frequent entry and exit of individual forecasters which renders conventional least squares regression approaches infeasible. We explore the consequences of this issue for existing combination methods and propose new methods for...

This paper uses a life cycle model to predict the induced entry effects of a reduction in the effective tax rate applied to Social Security Disability Insurance recipients from 100% under the status quo to a 50% tax rate (i.e. $1 dollar benefit reduction for every $2 earned over a disregard...