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direct test of the optimal deterrence theory of antitrust crimes.Regressions are fitted to a sample of the corporations that … collusion. However, U.S. fines do not conform to the theory's predictions about the probability of detection and conviction of …
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Scholars and enforcement officials debate the merits and implications of “behavioral antitrust” — the application of empirical evidence showing how human behavior departs systematically and predictably from strict rationality (“bounded rationality”) to antitrust law. Notwithstanding...
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We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more...
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We consider a supplier of style goods who sells his products through a single retailer. Previous research has shown that there exists a continuum of buy-back contracts which can induce the retailer to order the system optimal quantity. In this paper we show that when forecasting choice is...
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“Big data” gives markets access to previously unmeasured characteristics of individual agents. Policymakers must decide whether and how to regulate the use of this data. We study how new data affects incentives for agents to exert effort in settings such as the labor market, where an agent's...
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