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Researchers who study crime and justice have been forecasting a variety of outcomes for nearly a century. Perhaps the … and time trends in crime. However, it is very difficult to determine how accurate such forecasts have been because few … forecasts have been properly evaluated. In the hope of improving crime and justice forecasts in the future, this article reviews …
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analyze monthly severe crimes at the census tract level in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Our data set combines Uniform Crime … matrices. Our estimation results confirm socio-economic explanations for crime and, foremost, the broken-windows hypothesis …
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