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Predicting retirement and social security claiming decisions using machine learning
Kwon, Alexander; Maliar, Lilia - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014564329
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Actuarial fairness when longevity increases : an evaluation of the Italian pension system
Belloni, Michele; Maccheroni, Carlo - In: The Geneva papers on risk and insurance - issues and … 38 (2013) 4, pp. 638-674
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206710
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Simulation model to forecast the consequences of changes introduced into the 2nd pillar of the Polish pension system
Mielczarek, Bożena - In: Economic modelling 30 (2013), pp. 706-714
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009708818
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Automatic indexation of the pension age to life expectancy : when policy design matters
Ayuso, Mercedes; Holzmann, Robert; Holzmann, Robert; … - In: Risks : open access journal 9 (2021) 5, pp. 1-28
Increasing retirement ages in an automatic or scheduled way with increasing life expectancy at retirement is a popular … process, model, and parameter risks. The results show that: (i) retirement ages are forecasted to increase substantially in … the coming decades, particularly if a constant period in retirement is targeted; (ii) retirement age policy outcomes may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597036
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Using the pension multiple to measure retirement outcomes
Minney, Aaron; Zhu, Zili; Guo, Ying; Li, Jiaming; … - In: Finance research letters 49 (2022), pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013479606
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Extrapolative income expectations and retirement savings
Cota, Marta - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251160
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Inefficiency in Social Security Trust Funds Forecasts
Lahiri, Kajal; Zhang, Junyan; Zhao, Yongchen - 2021
We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust fund balance, trust fund ratio made during 1980-2020 with horizons up to 95 years. We find that the reported deterioration in the accuracy of the forecasts during 2010’s has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313449
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Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
Lee, Ronald - 2004
This paper consists of three reports on stochastic forecasting for Social Security, on infinite horizons, immigration, and structural time series models. 1) In our preferred stochastic immigration forecast, total net immigration drops from current levels down to about one million by 2020, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467770
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Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
Lee, Ronald D.; Miller, Timothy; Anderson, Michael W. - 2021
This paper consists of three reports on stochastic forecasting for Social Security, on infinite horizons, immigration, and structural time series models. 1) In our preferred stochastic immigration forecast, total net immigration drops from current levels down to about one million by 2020, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230407
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Analysis and forecasting of social security: a study of robustness
Westlund, Anders H.; Ermolieva, Tatiana; MacKellar, … - In: Financial modelling : with 74 tables : [a selection of …, (pp. 401-427). 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001485064