Showing 1 - 10 of 6,035
. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries …, including global level and slope, U.S. convexity, VIX, SVIX, variance risk premium, and left-tail volatility. The predictability … of global convexity comes from its left-tail contributions related to crash fears (left-tail volatility), and right …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
Predicting the one-step-ahead volatility is of great importance in measuring and managing investment risk more … accurately. Taking into consideration the main characteristics of the conditional volatility of asset returns, I estimate an … leptokurtic conditional distribution of innovations, produces the most accurate one-day-ahead volatility forecasts. The study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910129
Stochastic processes is one of the key operations research tools for analysis of complex phenomenon. This paper has a unique application to the study of mean changing models in stock markets. The idea is to enter and exit stock markets like Apple Computer and the broad S&P500 index at good times...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220323
stock price index volatility using daily Egyptian data. The competing Models include GARCH, EGARCH, GJR and APAPCH used with …-tailed asymmetric densities are taken into account in the conditional volatility, is better than symmetric GARCH. Moreover, it is found …-t density is more appropriate for modeling the Egyptian stock market index volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229604
In almost all stages of forecasting volatility, certain subjective decisions need to be made. Despite of an enormous …. In order to find out outperforming model in general not just in the contexts of studies, volatility models should be …, EWMA), GARCH family models (GARCH, GRJ-GARCH, GARCH, APARCH, NAGARCH, FIGARCH) and Stochastic Volatility model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743532
properties of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index (DJIM) and explore its volatility dynamics using a number of up … traditional asset classes, and estimation results and forecasting performance for various volatility models are also in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010348307
prop- erties of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index (DJIM) and ex- plore its volatility dynamics using a number of up …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406941