This paper examines prediction of U.S. bank failure with a probit model that uses bias-corrected technical efficiency estimated using bootstrap data envelopment analysis as the measure of management quality. The model is tested on a sample of failed and non-failed banks during the sub-prime...

This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity to build times-series components that capture the...