In this work, we apply cutting edge machine learning algorithms to one of the oldest challenges in finance: Predicting returns. For the sake of simplicity, we focus on predicting the direction (e.g. either up or down) of several liquid ETFs and do not attempt to predict the magnitude of price...

Self-perception and perception by others can diverge. Such differences can play an important role in corporate governance settings, for example in the context of task allocation. We run two experiments to study how predictions about own performance and the performance of others develop over time...