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The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of … financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and … comparisons for a set of 18 stock market indices. In total, four competing copula-GARCH models are contrasted against each other …
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find that the Poisson jump-diffusion and not the GARCH (1,1) process lends statistical support for the data description. We …
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Pagan (1980)., We show that this test has nearly correct size in non-linear regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved …
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Estimation of multivariate volatility models is usually carried out by quasi maximum likelihood (QMLE), for which consistency and asymptotic normality have been proven under quite general conditions. However, there may be a substantial efficiency loss of QMLE if the true innovation distribution...
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A huge body of empirical and theoretical literature has emerged on the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and international trade. In empirical studies the estimated impacts of exchange rate uncertainty on trade figures are at most weak and often ambiguous with respect to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296440
In this paper we compare the price of an option with one year maturity of the German stock index DAX for several volatility models including long memory and leverage effects. We compute the price by applying a present value scheme as well as the Black-Scholes and Hull-White formulas which...
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It has long been known that the estimated persistence parameter in the GARCH(1,1) - model is biased upwards when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296748