This paper offers a narrative description of Western European monetary policies during the 1980s, seen from a French and European perspective and based on the archives of the General Council of the Bank of France and of the Committee of Governors (CoG) of the central banks of the member states...

We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...

Topic analysis of the European Central Bank (ECB) press conferences reveals meaningful communication patterns. Similar press conferences are clustered in time ¦ The revisions to the ECB narrative accompany the changes in policy direction. Market volatility increases when the ECB substantially...

Central banking in France from 1948 to 1973 was a paradigmatic example of an unconventional policy relying on quantities rather than on interest rates. Usual SVAR find no effect of policy shocks and support the common view that monetary policy was ineffective over this period. I argue that only...

This paper proposes a new framework for analyzing the sentiments of central bank narratives. Specifically, we fine-tune a pre-trained BERT model on a dataset of manually annotated sentences on monetary policy stance. We derive a deep learning domain-specific model – BERT central bank sentiment...

We use narrative monetary policy shocks and local projections to estimate the impact of monetary policy on consumption and investment. We use granular data to investigate how the response varies across consumption categories, investment types, and sectors. Our findings indicate that both...

This paper compares results from the narrative approach of Romer and Romer (1989) to those from the structural approach regarding the effects of monetary policy on real output. The results from both approaches lead to the conclusions that monetary policy matters and that the effects build slowly...