Cieslak, Anna; Hansen, Stephen; McMahon, Michael; Xiao, Song - 2022
policymakers’ beliefs about higher-order moments of economic distributions – specifically perceptions of uncertainty and skewness … unobservable decision-making features, we construct text-based proxies for policymakers’ uncertainty, sentiment, and policy stance … from the FOMC meeting transcripts over the 1987--2015 period. Heightened uncertainty generally amplifies the policymakers …