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Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2015
This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839
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Social interaction, emotion, and economic forecasting
Reichmann, Werner - In: Futures past : economic forecasting in the 20th and …, (pp. 139-161). 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306181
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Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: Applied economics letters 23 (2016) 16/18, pp. 1229-1233
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702145
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The forecasting power of the ifo business survey
Lehmann, Robert - 2020
The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product. However, the ifo Business Survey is not solely limited to the Business Climate and also delivers a multitude of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219339
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Demand Research and the Planning of Consumer Goods Supplies in a Centralised Socialist System – The Case of the Former German Democratic Republic
Naor, Jacob; Schmutzler, Olaf - In: European Journal of Marketing 25 (1991) 8, pp. 13-31
The process of consumer goods planning and demand research in a centralised socialist system, that of the German Democratic Republic (GDR) is presented and analysed. The system′s degree of centralisation and performance record; and its effectiveness in meeting consumer needs are evaluated and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014722993
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A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies
Jakab, Zoltan; Lukyantsau, Pavel; Wang, Shengzu - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. This paper creates a special version of GPM that includes the four largest Euro Area (EA) countries. The EA countries are more vulnerable to domestic and external demand shocks because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242224
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Public forecasting and futures studies in Germany
Hérault, Bruno - In: Foresight 8 (2006) 6, pp. 71-77
Purpose – This paper seeks to present the key actors in Germany in the field of public forecasting and futures studies. Design/methodology/approach – Taking into account the highly decentralized nature of German institutions, and the reforms carried out since the reunification, it analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014742975
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Corporate governance and financial reporting quality of German firms : three empirical studies
Riediger, Monika A. - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011871927
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The role of accounting in the German financial system
Leuz, Christian; Wüstemann, Jens - 2003
This chapter analyzes the role of financial accounting in the German financial system. It starts from the common … perception that German accounting is rather 'uninformative'. This characterization is appropriate from the perspective of an arm … perspective is adopted. The German accounting system exhibits several arrangements that privately communicate information to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298240
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Analysts' Forecast Accuracy in Germany: The Effect of Different Accounting Principles and Changes of Accounting Principles
Ernstberger, Jürgen; Krotter, Simon; Stadler, Christian - 2008
about the usefulness of international accounting data and about the adoption effects of a change to such accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447490