The purpose of this article is to examine the impact of analysts' recommendation downgrades, upgrades, and reiterations on German stock returns and as to whether prof- itable investment strategies could potentially be designed around these recommendations. The paper provides a unique detailed...

Finanzanalysten üben wichtige Funktionen auf den Kapitalmärkten aus. Sie sind wesentlich am Anlageentscheidungsprozess potentieller Kapitalgeber beteiligt und beeinflussen mit ihren Tätigkeiten das Kapitalmarktgeschehen. Sowohl das generelle Forschungsdefizit auf dem deutschen Aktienmarkt als...

We show empirically that survey-based measures of expected inflation are significant and strong predictors of future aggregate stock returns in several industrialized countries both in-sample and out-of-sample. By empirically discriminating between competing sources of this return predictability...

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...