This paper develops a unified approach to comprehensively analyse individual hedge fund return predictability, both in- and out-of-sample. In-sample, we find that variation in hedge fund performance across changing market conditions is widespread and economically significant. The predictability...

This paper develops a unified approach to comprehensively analyze individual hedge fund return predictability, both in- and out-of-sample. In-sample, we find that variation in hedge fund performance across changing market conditions is widespread and economically significant. The predictability...

This paper evaluates hedge fund performance through portfolio strategies that incorporate predictability based on macroeconomic variables. Incorporating predictability substantially improves out-of-sample performance for the entire universe of hedge funds as well as for various investment...

Of first-order importance to the study of potential systemic risks in hedge funds is the aggregate size of the industry. The worldwide hedge fund industry has been estimated by regulators and industry experts as having total net assets under management of $2.3-3.7 trillion as of the end of 2016....

This paper introduces a new approach to monitoring the daily risk of investing in hedge funds. Specifically, we use low-frequency (monthly) models to forecast high-frequency (daily) hedge fund returns. This approach addresses the common problem that confronts investors who wish to monitor their...

We study the effect of share restrictions on the flow-performance relation of individual hedge funds. Consistent with the predictions of our model, hedge funds exhibit a convex flow-performance relation in the absence of share restrictions, similar to mutual funds. However, in the presence of...

This review describes several important recent advances in the measurement of the performance of actively managed portfolios. For returns-based performance evaluation, we discuss several innovations, such as conditional performance evaluation, Bayesian approaches, and a new multiple-testing...