We develop an agent-based macroeconomic model in which product innovation is the fundamental driver of growth and business cycle fluctuations. The model builds on a hedonic approach to the product space and product innovation developed in Georges (2011)

This paper studies optimal contest design for competitive experimentation. The principal seeks contributions from multiple agents whose experimentation efforts are unobservable. To induce effort, the contest must provide agents with an information rent that increases in the duration of the...

This paper analyzes the entry of new products into vertically differentiated markets where an entrant and an incumbent compete in quantities. The value of the new product is initially uncertain and new information is generated through purchases in the market. We derive the (unique) Markov...

This study provides formal theoretical evidence that, in of itself, and subsequent to the first day of trading, applications of the Gordon Growth Model to pricing of publicly traded equity incorporate informational `noise' and/or `shading of information' that, theoretically, are unbounded....

Leveraging the detailed project-level data on biotech startups and their IPO records, this paper studies how adverse selection in capital markets affects financing decisions of entrepreneurs and firm values. By structurally estimating a dynamic model that features strategic experimentation and...

This paper studies the problem of incentivizing an agent in an innovation project when the progress of innovation is known only to the agent. I assume the success of innovation requires an intermediate breakthrough and a final breakthrough, with only the latter being observed by the principal....