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The aim of this paper is to make a comparison between survey and time series-based estimates of capacity utilization for the Italian manufacturing sector. The comparison is focused on the actual economic crisis. Two kinds of empirical evaluation are implemented: the ability of the series to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136751
the empirical application we specify and estimate a FaMIDAS to forecast Italian quarterly GDP. The short-term forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138914
empirical application for the Italian quarterly GDP the short-term forecasting performance is evaluated against other mixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125752
short-term forecasting. Using a mixed frequency factor model to predict Italian GDP, we find that payment system flows stand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959319
The main goal of the paper is to extract the aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks in Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal, as well as to examine the correlation among the two types of shocks. The decomposition of the shocks was achieved by using a structural vector autoregression that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124354
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain …). Overall it is found that constant gain learning performs well in out-of-sample forecasting. It is also shown that households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991141
properties of each single parameter in a DSGE model separately. In the case of France, Germany, and Italy our results point to … behavior for France, Italy, and Spain, while monetary policy in Germany seems to be stable over time. -- DSGE ; EMU ; monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571531
We apply Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index methodology to monthly industrial production indices to study business cycle interdependence among G-6 industrialized countries since 1958. The business cycle spillover index fluctuates substantially over time, increasing especially after the 1973-75,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003830890
cycle in France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States, using two complementary approaches in our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136227
function approach for France, Germany and Italy for the 1986:2003 period. The aim of this study is twofold: first, we keep a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136633