Similar Search Results

Forecasting the unemployment rate using the degree of agreement in consumer unemployment expectations

Claveria, Oscar - In: Journal for Labour Market Research 53 (2019) 3, pp. 1-10

as benchmark. Finally, we replicate the forecasting experiment including as predictors both an indicator of unemployment …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208423

A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy

Burri, Marc; Kaufmann, Daniel - 2020

Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving Covid-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609073

A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy : useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts

Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe - 2006

This paper aims to extract the common variation in a data set of 509 conjunctural series as an indication of the Belgian business cycle. The data set contains information on business and consumer surveys of Belgium and its neighbouring countries, macroeconomic variables and some worldwide...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003343540

Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test : a case study for the Euro Area industrial production

Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina … - 2010

to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952110

Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting

Giannone, Domenico; Monti, Francesca; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2015

predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325

Texas manufacturing outlook survey : survey methodology and performance

Cañas, Jesús; Kerr, Emily - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512240

A new index of financial conditions

Koop, Gary; Korobilis, Dimitris - In: European economic review : EER 71 (2014), pp. 101-116

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512275

Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data

Bialowolski, Piotr; Kuszewski, Tomasz; Witkowski, Bartosz - 2015

The main goal of the article is to investigate forecasting quality of two approaches to modelling main macroeconomic … accuracy not inferior to that of structural models. Additional advantage of their approach is that the forecasting procedure … can be mostly automated and the influence of subjective decisions made in the forecasting process can be significantly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512536

Corporate yield curves as predictors of future economic and financial indicators

Saar, Dan; Yagil, Yossi - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 19/21, pp. 1997-2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513396

An evaluation of business survey indices for short-term forecasting : balance method versus Carlson-Parkin method

Vermeulen, Philip - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 882-897

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517780

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Next
Last