This paper outlines a baseline scenario for Mexico's economy for the period 2017-2019, based on the main internal and external assumptions with the highest probability to materialize. It also remarks the main risks that could deviate the economy from the baseline scenario

A method for anticipating quarterly estimates of GDP and its main components in advance of the official publication is presented in this study. Using high-frequency information, time series equations and regression analysis, the model predicts the quarterly GDP based on three different...

Remittances to Mexico have increased more than six times in the past two decades. The boom in remittances can be explained mainly by U.S. economic performance as an attraction for Mexican workers, which implies more migration flows but also better-paying jobs. The immigrant’s income...

In this paper we evaluate Mexico’s potential scenario for 2018-2020 period, in which the economy will be immersed in the ups and downs of the business cycle, a traditional pattern determined by the political cycle every six years of change of government. In 2018 the economy will be under the...