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This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264080
This is the second of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825847
This is the first of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263685
) has been to raise inflation targets to provide more room for policy rate easing during crises. This paper addresses a … different issue: the relationship between inflation and welfare. The literature is surveyed and a model is developed. A key … conclusion is that an increase in inflation targets gives rise to additional welfare costs, even after the extra room to maneuver …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141999
an inflation targeting framework underpinned by a flexible exchange rate regime was not adopted, how much deeper would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151206
This selected issues paper on Indonesia was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on August 21, 2012. The views expressed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243208
Uruguay’s inflation and inflation expectations exceed the inflation target, and the gap has been widening in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244441
low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic … interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most … reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826023
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy—and therefore policy—was likely headed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in low-income countries. It is hard to come away from this review with much confidence in the strength of monetary transmission in such countries. We distinguish between the "facts on the ground" and "methodological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790377