This paper uses a cohort microsimulation model to analyse intragenerational distributional effects of a shift from a defined benefit pay‐as‐you‐go pension system that includes flat rate component and length of pensionable service component to a pension system with contribution based...

For more than 25 years, the Social Security Trust Fund has been projected to run out of money in 2033 (give or take a few years), potentially causing benefits to be severely reduced in the absence of corrective legislative action. Today (February 2024), projections are made by the Social...

We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust fund balance, trust fund ratio made during 1980-2020 with horizons up to 95 years. We find that the reported deterioration in the accuracy of the forecasts during 2010’s has...

The Council of Superannuation Custodians (2013) indicated that one of the objectives of the Superannuation Guarantee Levy (SGL) was to relieve pressure on the cost of the Age Pension system. This paper uses a life cycle approach together with a model that introduces volatility in the drivers...

This paper establishes a theoretical link between actuarial neutrality and the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to empirically assess vertical equity in public defined-benefit schemes. We demonstrate how this approach can be generalized to non-linear functions, point systems, and notional accounts....

Many countries seek to improve their pension systems by introducing corporate and individual savings plans to address the challenges of demography, social security, and economy. However, the establishing of a long-term, reliable savings system encounters multiple impediments. The retrospective...

This paper provides some results from a model built in order to study the linked impacts of demography and economy on the French pension scheme. The demo-economic model which is used is a neo-cambridgian model with two types of agents in a closed economy. Since it includes a very thin...

Millions of defined benefit pensioners must select a pension insurance method. We present a framework for making this decision within the context of US military veterans' Survivor Benefit Plan (SBP). Federal government subsidies generate a positive expected net payout for SBP. While insurance...

Pension systems combine government and privately-sponsored support to finance a suitable standard of living during retirement. Pension systems can be financed through pay-as-you-go (PAYG) or through pre-funding. PAYG pension schemes finance old- age retirement benefits in one particular period...

Governments have phased out pay-as-you-go pension schemes in favor of funded ones. Instead of dropping the intergenerational transfers of the pay-as-you-go pensions, we propose to invert them. In this way, resources would flow from old to young generations as if it were a system of public...