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In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and … 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We … deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501266
, but the magnitude of this effect was small and statistically insignificant. In fact, non-voting appears particularly high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862577
. The results show that realized investment ratios decreased in years when state elections occurred relative to the average … develop better before state elections and worse after state elections. The second part of this dissertation investigates how … politicians who vote against the party line in roll-call votes. The results do not show that parties account for the voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011741962
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792127
This paper provides new evidence on the effect of immigration on election outcomes. Our analysis makes use of data on city districts in Hamburg, Germany, during a period of substantial inflows of immigrants and asylum seekers. We find significant and robust effects for changes in foreigner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309042
mayoral candidates just prior to municipal elections. It left voters more knowledgeable about candidates' proposed policies … and increased the salience of spending, but did not affect vote shares and turnout. Treated voters were more likely to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521266
Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800554
This paper studies the effects of endogenous party formation on political platforms. It develops a model in which parties allow like-minded citizens to, first, share the cost of running in a public election and, second, coordinate on a policy platform. The paper characterizes the set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012652734
Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745243
Party performance in state and federal elections is highly interdependent. Federal elections impact regional voting … state of Berlin and the federal level in Germany. State voting intentions for the state and for the federal parliament are … federal parliament voting intention impact state parliament voting intention, but - as a new finding - to the same extent also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615805