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A parsimonious extension of a well-known portfolio credit-risk model allows us to study a salient stylized fact - abrupt switches between high- and low-loss phases - from a risk-management perspective. As uncertainty about phase switches increases, expected losses decouple from unexpected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814386
The paper proposes a sequential Bayesian updating approach to estimate default probabilities on rating grade level for no- and low-default portfolios.Bayesian sequential updating enables default probabilities to be obtained also for those rating grades for which no defaults have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843208
This article proposes a sequential Bayesian updating approach to estimate default probabilities on rating grade level for no- and low-default portfolios. Bayesian sequential updating allows to obtain default probabilities also for those rating grades for which no defaults have been observed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897815
Our paper addresses firm size as a driver of systematic credit risk in loans to small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Key contributions are the use of a unique data set of SME lending by over 400 German banks and relating systematic risk to the size dependence of regulatory capital requirements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751062
The ongoing debate concerning credit concentration risk is mainly driven by the requirements on credit risk management due to Pillar 2 of Basel II since risks (e.g. concentration risk) that are not fully captured by Pillar 1 should be adequately considered in the banks' risk management. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486442
quantitative models in a new perspective. This knowledge may prove valuable for regulators who aim to understand bank behaviour and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988834
Interest rate risk is the exposure of a bank's financial condition to adverse movements in interest rates. Changes in … interest rates affect a bank's earnings by changing its net interest income and also affect the underlying value of the bank … for assessing a bank's interest rate risk exposure: earnings perspective and economic value perspective. Changes in banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112510
Banks produce short-term debt for transactions and storing value. The value of bank money must not vary over time so … information about the bank's loans. To produce safe liquidity banks choose loans with high such costs. Capital markets cannot … produce substitutes for bank money because they involve information revelation. They produce risky liquidity. This trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006295
We estimate a structural model of bank portfolio lending and find that the typical U.S. community bank reduced its … effects (consistent with a reduction in the liquidity of assets held on bank balance sheets) and by reduced loan supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036540
Bank lending is a major source of income for a bank. Compliance with higher Basel capital requirements (CAR) portends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198353