In the data mining and machine learning fields, forecasting the direction of price change can be generally formulated as a supervised classfii cation. This paper attempts to predict the direction of daily changes of the Nasdaq Composite Index (NCI) and of the Standard & Poor's 500 Composite...

Firms often offer a menu of contracts which vary by fee structures in order to differentiate among different types of consumers. Such contracts require that consumers make estimates of their own future behavior to choose among service contracts whose prices condition on usage. We study the...