test this hypothesis directly, by examining the effects of competition on the biases of firms' sales forecasts. Using data … from firm-level surveys in five African countries, I show that firms that are protected from foreign competition generate …

I examine the effect of strategic competition on management sales forecast bias. Strategic complement firms react to a …

Predictive AI is increasingly used to guide decisions on agents. I show that even a bias-neutral predictive AI can … potentially amplify exogenous (human) bias in settings where the predictive AI represents a cost-adjusted precision gain to … belief updating, expected victims of bias become less likely to be saved by randomness under more precise predictions. An …