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-probability paragraphs reveals recurring narratives. Underestimations of consumption growth often mention rising employment, increasing wages …
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This paper identiftes U.S. monetary and ftscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques. The algorithms are trained and verifted by employing simulated data from Markov-switching DSGE models, before they classify regimes from 1968-2017 using actual U.S. data. All machine learning...
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expectations of real economic activity, uncertainty about real GDP growth, and downside and upside risks in housing starts and the …
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effects on GDP growth in various pandemic scenarios. We explore five economic scenarios-shocks-using the available data from …
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This study utilized both single-regime GARCH and double-regime GARCH models to investigate oil price volatility, Spanish macroeconomic factors, and stock prices during major crises such as geopolitical conflicts, the global financial crisis (GFC), and COVID-19, covering the period from Q2-1995...
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