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This paper develops and compares two theories of strategic behavior of professional forecasters. The first theory …-take-all contest, forecasts are excessively differentiated. According to the alternative reputational cheap talk theory, forecasters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184487
This paper develops and compares two theories of strategic behaviour of professional forecasters. The first theory …-take-all contest, forecasts are excessively differentiated. According to the alternative reputational cheap talk theory, forecasters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122864
Sophisticated collusive compensation schemes such as assigning future market shares or direct transfers are frequently observed in detected cartels. We show formally why these schemes are useful for dampening deviation incentives when colluding firms are temporary asymmetric. The relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704975
Sophisticated collusive compensation schemes such as assigning future market shares or direct transfers are frequently observed in detected cartels. We show formally why these schemes are useful for dampening deviation incentives when colluding firms are temporary asymmetric. The relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698813
SEC rules require managers to reconcile their non-GAAP forecasts with the most directly comparable GAAP measure unless doing so would entail ‘unreasonable effort'. A significant and growing number of managers invoke the unreasonable efforts exception to justify the omission of comparable GAAP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832687
We analyze tournaments of heterogeneous players from an organizer's perspective. Using a simple model of a noisy tournament, we demonstrate how the likelihood of selecting the best player, here termed the "predictive power" of a tournament, depends on the tournament format, the distribution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218148
Psychologists and behavioral economists have documented numerous deviations from the rational expectations model of forecasting that is a common assumption of neoclassical economics. In response, it has been claimed that, while such biases may exist for individuals, firms that exhibit (costly)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014035662
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