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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000562871
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220544
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222335
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013258672
We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313449
This paper assesses to what extent forecasters make efficient use of competitors' forecasts. Using a panel of forecasters, I find that forecasters underuse information from their competitors in their forecasts for current and next year's annual GDP growth and in ation. The results also show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111567
This paper assesses to what extent forecasters make effcient use of competitors' forecasts. Usinga panel of forecasters, I find that forecasters underuse information from their competitors in their forecasts for current and next year's annual GDP growth and inflation. The results also show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846934
boundedly rational consumers or the reactions of firms to such behavior. Second and more fundamental is the efficiency challenge …, which surfaces where consumer bias weakens the causal link between competition and efficiency. For instance, consumers who … standard economic justification for antitrust law largely weathers the thorny efficiency and welfare challenges alike …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999218