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We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–30. We use a cross-country regression model where the long-run fundamentals are determined by countries’ accumulated capabilities and the capacity to undergo structural transformation. -- Capabilities ; forecast ; growth
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003996803
This study complements the scarce literature on growth determinants in fast emerging economies of the BRICS and MINT by assessing the determinants throughout the conditional distributions of the growth rate and real GDP output for the period 2001-2011. An instrumenal variable (IV) quantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408841
This paper introduces a new measure of dependence or jointness among explanatory variables. Jointness is based on the joint posterior distribution of variables over the model space, thereby taking model uncertainty into account. By looking beyond marginal measures of variable importance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317072
We analyze the evolution of fast emerging economies of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China & South Africa) and MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria & Turkey) countries, by assessing growth determinants throughout the conditional distributions of the growth rate and real GDP output for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822294
This paper proposes a reassessment of the export-led growth hypothesis focusing on conditioning effects from countries initial level of GDP per worker, human capital stock, and exports share in GDP. For this purpose a panel threshold regression technique was applied over selected cross-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209308
While some of the modern performance measures used in managerial accounting rely on cash flow based figures others try to take advantage of the information content of accounting figures. However, whether the additional information content in the accrual components of earnings improves the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660017
The central idea of this text is to guide researchers through the application of regression modeling when the data under analysis are observed over time. In general, there are no doubts regarding the application of this modeling in cross sections. However, when there is dependence on the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909698
This study explores the impact of tourism uncertainty, including economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and travel crises arising from issues such as terrorism and disease outbreaks, on airline stock markets in Korea. Airline stock prices are particularly affected by tourism uncertainty. Using data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256415
Small and Medium-sized Manufacturing Enterprises (SMME) play an important role in national economy. But they usually suffer from high risks in finance that make them have short lives. Therefore, the study of SMME's performance turnaround would help them get rid of financial distress and go...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063661
Customer segmentation has virtually unlimited potential as a tool that can guide firms toward more effective ways to market products and develop new ones. As a conceptual introduction to this topic, we study how an innovative multi-national firm (Migros Turk) has developed an effective set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026878