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We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes. The example we develop in greater detail is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970297
This paper proposes a new method to introduce coherent risk measures for risks with infinite expectation, such as those characterized by some Pareto distributions. Extensions of the conditional value at risk, the weighted conditional value at risk and other examples are given. Actuarial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024274
The netting of OTC derivatives trades, known as 'compression', reduces systemic risk in financial markets by minimising counterparty exposures between large financial institutions, in particular the large dealer banks. We present here a framework for compression in the OTC derivatives market for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043588
This paper deals with the optimal reinsurance problem and involves the goals of both insurer and reinsurer. An important novelty may be the incorporation of the background risk that the reinsurer uses in order to diversify (or hedge) the risk ceded by the insurer. Accordingly, general methods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233423
This paper studies the implications for reserve lifetime and related quantities in a continuous time model of resource extraction under uncertainty. Both the resource price and the extracted amount are assumed to follow stochastic processes. Reserve lifetime is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061983
We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes. This methodology is suitable for the social sciences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915507
The paper offers a non-probabilistic framework for representation of uncertainty in the context of a simple linear-quadratic model of fiscal adjustment. Instead of treating model disturbances as random variables with known probability distributions, it is only assumed that they belong to some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982445
We propose a new model formulation for a three-echelon supply network design problem incorporating the concept of relocatable modular capacities. A robust supply network configuration must be determined based on uncertain demand. Furthermore, by incorporating the conditional value at risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237572
In this paper, we study the worst-case distortion risk measure when information about distortion functions is partially available. We obtain the explicit forms of the worst-case distortion functions from several different sets of plausible distortion functions. When there is no concavity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294556
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310029