Showing 1 - 10 of 451
I show that stochastic contracts generate powerful incentives when agents suffer from probability distortion. When implementing these contracts, the principal can target probability distortions in order to inflate the agent's perceived benefits of exerting high levels of effort. This novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053193
Starting from Schelling (1960), several game theorists have conjectured that payoff equity might facilitate coordination in normal-form games with multiple equilibria - the more equitable equilibrium might be selected either because fairness makes it focal or because many individuals dislike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224794
Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant in a diverse set of economic domains. In this paper, we relate the recent concept of cognitive uncertainty with overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257953
This paper reports an experiment that examines whether groups can make better decisions than individuals in contests. Our experiment replicates previous findings that individual players significantly overbid relative to theoretical predictions, incurring substantial losses. There is high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528454
Uncertainties and risks in the decision making process are abundant in the area of environmental economics, irrespective of whether the problems being discussed are local or global. This paper uses laboratory evidence from public goods games to examine how in payoff equivalent situations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587700
We demonstrate a novel link between relationship-specific investments and risk in a setting where division managers operate under moral hazard and collaborate on joint projects. Specific investments increase efficiency at the margin. This expands the scale of operations and thereby adds to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934854
We worked with two microlenders to test impacts of randomly assigned reminders for loan repayments in the "text messaging capital of the world". We do not find strong evidence that loss versus gain framing or messaging timing matter. Messages only robustly improve repayment when they include the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009534143
This paper presents a tractable model of a firm that chooses both the scale and timing of its investment. The value-maximizing investment policy is lumpy, and sensitivity analysis shows that greater demand volatility is associated with the firm choosing to invest in larger increments, less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128347
We estimate the effect of demand and price uncertainty on firms' investment decisions from a panel of manufacturing firms. Uncertainty measures are derived from firms' subjective qualitative expectations. They are close to their theoretical counterparts, the variances of future demand and price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137092
It has long been recognized that the quality of property rights greatly impacts the economic development of a country and the use of its natural resources. Since Long (1975), the conventional wisdom has been that ownership risk induces a firm to overuse the stock of a resource. However, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091457