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multivariate Beveridge-Nelson decomposition based on a medium-scale Bayesian vector autoregression. The choice of variables …% and 40% of cyclical movements in consumption to uncertainty shocks. …
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We investigate whether US households possess advance information about their future income and what this means for consumption insurance. Based on insights from a theoretical model, we propose a new test to detect advance information, which requires only panel data on consumption and income....
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This study examines whether investors’ attitudes toward ambiguity can explain cross-sectional stock returns by investigating the relationship between future stock returns and option-implied volatilities as well as implied third moments. We find that investors’ attitudes toward different...
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