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In the present paper it will be shown that in country level economic growth has a positive impact on stock prices in the long run. This study refers annually to the Western Europe, Japan and the United States during the period 1999-2007. Therefore, any factor favoring economic growth should be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137240
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portfolio (Bayer, Siemens and Volkswagen). Classical V aR estimation methodology such as exponential moving average (EMA) as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
We propose a Conditional Autoregressive Wishart (CAW) model for the analysis of realized covariance matrices of asset returns. Our model assumes a generalized linear autoregressive moving average structure for the scale matrix of the Wishart distribution allowing to accommodate for complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133422
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the time-varying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data … matrix and facilitates estimation of large volatility matrices. However, for predicting future volatility matrices, these … a quasi-maximum likelihood estimation method for the parameter of the factor GARCH-Ito model. We also apply it to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598
We develop a new variational Bayes estimation method for large-dimensional sparse vector autoregressive models with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239660
leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that … volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the timevarying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426