) to estimate forecast uncertainty, shocks and discord using information framework, and compare these with moment … ex ante "news" or "uncertainty shocks" in real time, and find that this 'news' is closely related to revisions in … forecast means, countercyclical, and raises uncertainty. Using standard vector auto-regression analysis, we confirm that …

changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of certainty and uncertainty. We capture the … macroeconomic investment in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty. Only if the central bank implements …

market set -up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is …

the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We capture the direct interest rate-hysteresis on the investments and the … of a central bank's interest rate policy, e.g. in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty, in terms …

-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature … focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure … of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically …