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The focus is upon equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt and their interaction, in a world where both the return on investment and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. These theoretically based measures are applied empirically to answer the following questions:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261108
Understanding the effects of exchange rate fluctuations across the population is important for increasingly globalized economies. Previous studies using industry aggregate data have found that industry wages are significantly more responsive than industry employment to exchange rate changes. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014135504
This paper studies the effect of transport infrastructure on the real exchange rate (RER) and reaches two relatively strong conclusions. First, while the list of robust determinants of the RER is not long, transport infrastructure belongs to that list. Many other potential determinants proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914401
This paper highlights some of the theoretical and practical implications for monetary policy and exchange rates that derive specifically from the presence of a global general equilibrium factor embedded in neutral real policy rates in open economies. Using a standard two country DSGE model, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914920
The study empirically investigated the factors explaining the volatility of the bilateral exchange rate of the naira to the U.S. dollar, using data for 1970-2013 period. The EGARCH (1,1) modeling technique was used. The empirical evidence indicated that volatility of the naira exchange rate was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228105
We investigate the relation between the risk premia observed in forward foreign exchange markets and international equity markets using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory. If returns on well-diversified equity portfolios explain movements in agents' intertemporal marginal rate of substitution then the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119670
This paper investigates the nature of observed deviations from the unbiased expectations hypothesis in the forward foreign exchange market. If these deviations are due to risk premia then the same premia should be observed in nominal bonds denominated in different currencies. This condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119997
Specialists in international finance have long been impressed by the fragility of currency pegs. Yet Danmarks Nationalbank has been able to maintain the krone's peg to the euro since the euro came into existence in 1999, and the krone's peg to the Deutschmark and SDR for 17 years before that....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231829
This article investigates a trading strategy that relies on private information in an electronic spot foreign exchange market. In a structural microstructure model extended for high-frequency data, our analysis links the informational content of trading activity to order size. We find that large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979184
This paper uses event study analysis and synthetic control estimation analysis to explore how the trend of the risk premium changes when a country breaks its exchange rate peg. We perform abnormal return and cumulative abnormal return estimations on daily fluctuations of country spread index,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851856