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We propose a dynamic semi-parametric framework to study time variation in tail parameters. The framework builds on the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) for modeling peaks over thresholds as in Extreme Value Theory, but casts the model in a conditional framework to allow for time-variation...
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their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
During and after the Great Recession, the European Central Bank adopted unconventional monetary policies that are more or less uncontroversial in the literature. By contrast, its quantitative easing (QE) program that started in 2015 is highly disputed. The article evaluates the pros and cons of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655235
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
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