Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have recently been proposed as accurate and fast approximators in various derivatives pricing applications. ANNs typically excel in fitting functions they approximate at the input parameters they are trained on, and often are quite good in interpolating between...

We consider the subject of approximating tail probabilities in the general compound renewal process framework, where severity data are assumed to follow a heavy-tailed law (in that only the first moment is assumed to exist). By using weak convergence of compound renewal processes to Lévy...

In this article, we build on Chernobai et al. [1]'s procedure for modelling left-truncated data via a compound non-homogeneous Poisson process. The contribution we make is that we modify the fitting process introduced so that it is systematically applicable in the context of data that is not...

Banks must manage their trading books, not just value them. Pricing includes valuation adjustments collectively known as XVA (at least credit, funding, capital and tax), so management must also include XVA. In trading book management we focus on pricing, hedging, and allocation of prices or...

We develop two neo-classical methods for function approximations, the generalized stochastic sampling (gSS) and the functional tensor train (fTT) methods, that are high-performing alternatives to generic deep neural networks (DNNs) currently routinely proposed for function approximations in...

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for conducting inference on probabilistic surveys. We use this approach to study whether U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters density projections for output growth and inflation are consistent with the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. We...

This paper puts forward a method to estimate average economic growth, andits associated confidence bounds, which does not require a formal decision onpotential unit root properties. The method is based on the analysis of eitherdifference-stationary or trend-stationary time series models,...

In this paper we examine the asymptotic properties of the estimator of the long-run coefficient (LRC) in a dynamic regression model with integrated regressors and serially correlated errors. We show that the OLS estimators of the regression coefficients are inconsistent but the OLS-based...

We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...

This paper investigates the link between economic state and investment levels in an economy within the premise of a partial equilibrium econometric setup based on the central philosophies of production-based asset pricing model and economic tracking portfolio models. By employing a simple linear...