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period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and nonlinearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280006
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
models as well as examine the effects of erroneously assuming cointegration. It is shown that inconclusive theoretical … imposing cointegration can be more or less useful for different horizons. The problem of forecasting variables with trending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023695
This paper shows that the integrated modified OLS (IM-OLS) estimator developed for cointegrating linear regressions in Vogelsang and Wagner (2014a) can be straightforwardly extended to cointegrating multivariate polynomial regressions. These are regression models that include as explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519282
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071206
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116819
We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317180
characteristics of the filter for signal extraction, trend prediction and cointegration estimation for univariate and bivariate series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219324
with seasonal cointegration techniques using the framework of vector autoregressive models to capture the seasonal pattern … seasonal and non-seasonal cointegration relations among the variables. The response functions of consumption and income show a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014221600
cointegration are provided. As a first application, we give analyticalcorroboration of the conjecture that the finite sample … coefficient. Hence, the notionof near cointegration helps to bridge the gap between the polar cases ofspurious regression and … cointegration. Secondly, we characterize theproperties of conventional cointegration methods under near cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300555