Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg; Dolinskaya, Svetlana - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
obtained for the USA is characterized by A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a root mean square forecasting error … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models … variety of specification tests and the Johansen cointegration rank test based on the VAR representation. Both approaches …