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Demographic versus Cyclical Influences on US Labor Force Participation
Cline, William R. - 2014
This paper applies time series analysis to distinguish between cyclical and demographic causes of the decline of the labor force participation rate. Some public discussions suggest that the decline of US unemployment from its 2009 peak of 10 percent to about 6 percent by mid-2014 grossly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049840
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The impact of health and education on labor force participation in aging societies : projections for the United States and Germany from a dynamic microsimulation
Böheim, René; Horvath, Gerard Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - 2021
Using a highly stylized dynamic microsimulation model, we project the labor force of the United States up to the year 2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections are consistent with the U S Census Bureau’s and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697468
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Black employment trends since the Great Recession
Masterson, Thomas - 2018
The Great Recession had a devastating impact on labor force participation and employment. This impact was not unlike … unusual pattern of recovery in employment by race. The black employment-population ratio has increased since bottoming out in … 2010, while the white employment-population ratio has remained flat. This paper examines trends in labor force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011910930
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The Power of Inclusive Labor Force Participation for Mitigating Population Aging : Closing Gaps at the Intersection Between Race/Ethnicity and Gender in the United States
Böheim, René; Horvath, Gerard Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We develop a dynamic microsimulation model to project the labor force and economic dependency ratios in the United States from 2022 to 2060, taking population projections and the large inequalities between population groups of different race/ethnicity and gender into account. We contrast policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576619
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Labor Force Participation in New England vs. The United States, 2007–2015 : Why Was the Regional Decline More Moderate?
Burke, Mary A. - 2017
This paper identifies the main forces that contributed to the decline in labor force participation in New England between 2007 and 2015, as well as the forces that moderated the region?s decline relative to that of the nation. This exercise contributes to an assessment of the outlook for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122439
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This job is "getting old" : measuring changes in job opportunities using occupational age structure
Autor, David H.; Dorn, David - 2009
aggregate trends, employment in initially middle-skill-intensive labor markets hollowed-out between 1980 and 2005. Employment … employment growth in lower-tail occupations. For college workers, employment losses at the middle were offset in roughly equal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003801096
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The impact of health and education on labor force participation in aging societies: Projections for the United States and Germany from a dynamic microsimulation
Böheim, René; Horvath, Gerard Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - 2021
Using a highly stylized dynamic microsimulation model, we project the labor force of the United States up to the year 2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections are consistent with the U S Census Bureau's and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800472
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This job is getting old: measuring changes in job opportunities using occupational age structure
Autor, David H.; Dorn, David - 2009
aggregate trends, employment in initially middle-skill-intensive labor markets hollowed-out between 1980 and 2005. Employment … employment growth in lower-tail occupations. For college workers, employment losses at the middle were offset in roughly equal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269183
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Monetary policy and macroeconomic factors : Japan versus the US and the euro area
Siklos, Pierre L. - In: Asia and the global economy : AGE 3 (2023) 2, pp. 1-8
Narratives that portray macroeconomic policies in Japan as unlike ones pursued in other large economies persist. I revisit how several factors, including monetary, fiscal, and demographic factors impact Japan, the US, and the euro area. Panel VARs driven by factors or observed macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447638
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Employment, late-life work, retirement, and well-being in Europe and the United States
Nikolova, Milena; Graham, Carol - In: IZA journal of European Labor Studies 3 (2014) 5, pp. 1-30
relationships between well-being and job satisfaction on the one hand and employment status and retirement, on the other, using …. There is no well-being premium for involuntary late-life work and self-employment compared to retirement, however. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251177