Baumeister, Christiane; Ellwanger, Reinhard; Kilian, Lutz - 2016
biofuel policies operates in part through market expectations and shifts in storage demand, yet to date it has proved … difficult to measure these expectations and to empirically evaluate this view. We utilize a recently proposed methodology to … estimate the market's expectations of the prices of ethanol, unfinished motor gasoline and crude oil at horizons from three …