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We study the estimation, the dynamics, and the predictability of option-implied risk-neutral moments (variance, skewness, and kurtosis) for individual stocks from various perspectives. We first show that it is in the estimation of the higher moments essential to use an interpolation with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150961
In this paper, we analyzed a dataset of over 2000 crypto-assets to assess their credit risk by computing their probability of death using the daily range. Unlike conventional low-frequency volatility models that only utilize close-to-close prices, the daily range incorporates all the information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350946
There has recently been growing interest in modeling and estimating alternative continuous time multivariate stochastic volatility models. We propose a continuous timefractionally integrated Wishart stochastic volatility (FIWSV) process. We derive the conditional Laplace transform of the FIWSV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326243
This paper proposes a novel approach to the combination of conditional covariance matrix forecasts based on the use of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). It is shown how the procedure can be generalized to deal with large dimensional systems by means of a two-step strategy. The finite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316711
We study the well-known multiplicative Lognormal cascade process in which the multiplication of Gaussian and Lognormally distributed random variables yields time series with intermittent bursts of activity. Due to the non-stationarity of this process and the combinatorial nature of such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003355766
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003282228
This paper proposes a novel approach to the combination of conditional covariance matrix forecasts based on the use of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). It is shown how the procedure can be generalized to deal with large dimensional systems by means of a two-step strategy. The finite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872887