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Using firm and industry data, we establish two facts: (i) Uncertainty about demand conditions not only reduces export … regularities by developing a new firmbased trade model wherein managers are risk averse. Higher volatility induces the reallocation …
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fundamentalists and chartists co-exist and are subject to regret and uncertainty. We find significant evidence that energy markets are … composed by heterogeneous traders which behave differently depending on the intensity of the price fluctuations and uncertainty …
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expected market return and from the risk-free rate. We propose to use the difference between these estimates to measure … in the market risk premium …
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Model uncertainty has the potential to change importantly how monetary policy should be conducted, making it an issue … form expectations using the misspecified model. Next, I exploit the connection between robust control and uncertainty …
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equilibrium uncertainty prices that confront a robust decision maker who solves a portfolio choice problem and offer a … ambiguity, he uses a max-min criterion to evaluate alternative plans. We use this decision theory to construct competitive … quantitative illustration for structured parametric models that focus uncertainty on macroeconomic growth and its persistence …
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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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