Showing 1 - 10 of 43,618
high-frequency data better and produce more accurate forecasts than competing realized volatility and option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855793
predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression … superior market timing ability and volatility timing ability, while a mean-variance investor would be willing to pay an annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135780
frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression … superior market timing ability and volatility timing ability, while a mean-variance investor would be willing to pay an annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382428
This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock … market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our … international volatility risk proxies. We find that international volatility risks are negatively associated with contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972144
This paper investigates the effects of U.S. economic variables on the time variation of Chinese stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969357
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
. Applying our model to high-frequency transaction data, we detect two distinct regimes in the intraday volatility process: a … dominant volatility regime that is observable throughout the trading day representing the risk-transferring trading activity of … investors, and a minor volatility regime that concentrates around market liquidity shocks which mainly capture impacts of firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903299