We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...

This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate risk, separately from each other. This paper uses...

Many contributions in the recent literature have investigated over the relationship between growth and its volatility without getting a clear and unambiguous answer. Besides reassessing the well-known effect of output volatility on growth as benchmark analysis, this study aims at looking into...

In the present paper an empirical analysis will point out that shadow economy can affect stock prices. The sample covers most industrialized world. Data are taken from Eurostat and (Schneider et al., 2010); (Schneider, 2013). The elaboration of these panel data is made feasible by means of the...

Within a two step GARCH framework we estimate the time-varying spillover effects from European and US return innovations to 10 economic sectors within the euro area, the United States, and the United Kingdom. We use daily data from January 1988 - March 2002. At the beginning of our sample...

Purpose: This paper examines the volatility of stock return in Dhaka stock exchange, BangladeshMethodology: Using Random Walk model (RW), Autoregressive model (AR), Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, and extensive GARCH model with Normal, and Student...

I examine the relationship between aggregate news sentiment, S&P 500 Index returns, and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). I find a significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and both news sentiment and stock returns. This relationship is asymmetric...