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We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
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We propose a Bayesian optimal filtering setup for improving out-of-sample forecasting performance when using volatile … high frequency data with long lag structure for forecasting low-frequency data. We test this setup by using real-time Swiss … indicator series for forecasting. …
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